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Sep 28, 2012
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all those same polls that show president obama leading and claims to correct the bias, turning romney deficits into commanding romney leads. the idea behind is it simple. all polls base the outcome on what pollsters believe the electorate will look like, how many democrats versus how many republicans they think will actually turn out. getting that partisan makeup wrong can tilt the predictions. the people that don't believe the polls say this time, pollsters think the 2012 electorate will look a lot like 2008 and this they say is wrong. notice i said this time. back in 2004, democrats complained that the polls which showed george w. bush leading were overestimating the number of republicans who would vote. they were wrong. the polls were right. in 2000, al gore said don't believe the polls, polls showed him losing narrowly. polls were right. in fact, it's hard to find an example of the polls on average getting it wrong unless you go back to 1948, when they predicted thomas dewey defeated president harry truman. cnn political contributor ari fleischer joins us. he's an occasionally unpaid commu
all those same polls that show president obama leading and claims to correct the bias, turning romney deficits into commanding romney leads. the idea behind is it simple. all polls base the outcome on what pollsters believe the electorate will look like, how many democrats versus how many republicans they think will actually turn out. getting that partisan makeup wrong can tilt the predictions. the people that don't believe the polls say this time, pollsters think the 2012 electorate will look...
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Sep 26, 2012
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who's better equipped to deal with the deficit and debt. the more they play to the religious right on social issues, the more they risk alienating these centrist voters. >> did you disagree? >> absolutely. the latest polls show that people trust obama more now with the economy. this economy issue solely is a losing issue for romney as the economy improves, but also it fails to reck thiz people care about other things other than just the economy. >> pastor jeffers, if i may, i was making the distinction about not just the economy, but deficit and debt. so, i appreciate your desire to have your nominee really focus on playing to the base in the religious right. that is your prerogative, but you can't rewrite polls to say that's a winning strategy when it comes to reaching out. >> what i'm saying to you is that i think the hunt for these elusive independent or undecided voters out there is going to be a losing strategy. it was in 2008 for john mccain. i think it will be this time. i'm not saying he has to make these social issues the heart of
who's better equipped to deal with the deficit and debt. the more they play to the religious right on social issues, the more they risk alienating these centrist voters. >> did you disagree? >> absolutely. the latest polls show that people trust obama more now with the economy. this economy issue solely is a losing issue for romney as the economy improves, but also it fails to reck thiz people care about other things other than just the economy. >> pastor jeffers, if i may, i...
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Oct 1, 2012
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the last time anyone came back from a four-point deficit was in 1999 and that was on home soil. and that was a stunning final day then. but for the europeans to come over to the american soil and to achieve this victory, it's truly historic. it was not expected at all. the americans looked like they were going to be racing favorites and certainties on the final day. all they needed from a possible 12 points was 4 1/2. they only managed 3 1/2. so it was left to the europeans to lead from the front, leading by example with an incredible spirit and an incredible belief. and they won the first five matches. and the united states could not respond. tiger woods had a very poor week here and, indeed, the who american team were left dumb struck on the final day after combining so well on the first tw days and displaying wonderful team spirit. but it did not fire at all on the last day. >> i didn't know golfers could get that excited. talk about amazing. let's talk about rory mcilroy, he won a big match, but he almost missed his tee time, which is, of course, kind of embarrassing. >> rep
the last time anyone came back from a four-point deficit was in 1999 and that was on home soil. and that was a stunning final day then. but for the europeans to come over to the american soil and to achieve this victory, it's truly historic. it was not expected at all. the americans looked like they were going to be racing favorites and certainties on the final day. all they needed from a possible 12 points was 4 1/2. they only managed 3 1/2. so it was left to the europeans to lead from the...
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Sep 30, 2012
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>> we're going to do it by responsibly dealing with these deficits while leaving money to invest and those things we need to grow -- education, research and development, clean energy technology. >> those aren't sort of specific proposals. what i'm asking you is -- >> let's talk about -- >> they haven't passed. >> 100,000 new math and science teachers. we need that to move forward as a country. >> that's a total, though, right? >> educating -- training two million new workers in our community colleges in conjunction with business to fill jobs that are open right now. boosting american manufacturing by ending the tax break that sends jobs overseas and giving tax incentives to companies that start manufacturing businesses here. these are specific tangible proposals and, candy, i believe that they will pass because i believe the american people are supportive of that. >> but they haven't passed. >> it will be rendered on november 6 wrth. >> no, they haven't. >> for two years jobs -- >> some of the specific proposals haven't, but, candy, think about the logical extension of what you're sa
>> we're going to do it by responsibly dealing with these deficits while leaving money to invest and those things we need to grow -- education, research and development, clean energy technology. >> those aren't sort of specific proposals. what i'm asking you is -- >> let's talk about -- >> they haven't passed. >> 100,000 new math and science teachers. we need that to move forward as a country. >> that's a total, though, right? >> educating -- training...
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Sep 25, 2012
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so that added to the national deficit. and one other thing that we should talk about in terms of the national deficit, part of it is that we're not bringing in as much revenue as we should be bringing in to pay for all the things, the services and programs that the american people continue to desire. there's no question under this president that we've seen, you know, the most significant budget cuts also in the history of country. discretionary spending is at its lowest in 60 years. taxes are also at their lowest. but the one thing that the democrats have not done, we haven't walked away from the table. we haven't pointed fingers and said it's their fault. we're all in this together. it's time republicans roll up their sleeves and come to the table so we can fix this problem and solve our many other great challenges before the end of the year and the american people can get back to work. that's what they desire us to do. >> i think both of these presidential candidates are gearing up for their one presidential debate in oc
so that added to the national deficit. and one other thing that we should talk about in terms of the national deficit, part of it is that we're not bringing in as much revenue as we should be bringing in to pay for all the things, the services and programs that the american people continue to desire. there's no question under this president that we've seen, you know, the most significant budget cuts also in the history of country. discretionary spending is at its lowest in 60 years. taxes are...
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Oct 1, 2012
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. >> $1.3 trillion deficit you definitely need something to bring that deficit down. bring the national debt down at some point down the road. once there is a balanced budget. who knows when that would be. most people assume nothing is going to happen as far as the fiscal cliff is concerned between now and november 6. but afterwards in that lame duck session between november 6 and december 31, something will happen. are you among those who will agree -- agree that the fiscal cliff will be avoided? >> yes. i think it will be avoided. i mean, you know, depends on the election. you know. if governor romney wins it is likely -- would kick the can into next year. leave everything the same for a few months. let -- the new president come into office and get it together. probably in the spring. president obama wins the election, then right after the election, lame duck, the clock will start ticking and he will be under a lot of pressure to do something. let me say one other thing. you know, i think the most likely scenario is that we are actually going to have to go into next
. >> $1.3 trillion deficit you definitely need something to bring that deficit down. bring the national debt down at some point down the road. once there is a balanced budget. who knows when that would be. most people assume nothing is going to happen as far as the fiscal cliff is concerned between now and november 6. but afterwards in that lame duck session between november 6 and december 31, something will happen. are you among those who will agree -- agree that the fiscal cliff will be...
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Sep 26, 2012
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and you talk about the deficit? the paul ryan budget that mr. romney says is a marvelous budget won't achieve balance until 30 years from now? romney-ryan aren't even fiscally responsible in their plans. all they want to do is to go back to the bush policies. >> let me interrupt. >> the debt just went up astro nommicly under this president. he's moving in the wrong direction. >> thank you both, ted strickland, ken blackwell, appreciate the discussion. thank you. >>> the world is focusing on iran's nuclear program, thanks in part to israel's attention to the issue. but what about israel's nukes? we investigate next. one is for a clean, wedomestic energy future that puts us in control. our abundant natural gas is already saving us money, producing cleaner electricity, putting us to work here in america and supporting wind and solar. though all energy development comes with some risk, we're committed to safely and responsibly producing natural gas. it's not a dream. america's natural gas... putting us in control of our energy future, now. and the c
and you talk about the deficit? the paul ryan budget that mr. romney says is a marvelous budget won't achieve balance until 30 years from now? romney-ryan aren't even fiscally responsible in their plans. all they want to do is to go back to the bush policies. >> let me interrupt. >> the debt just went up astro nommicly under this president. he's moving in the wrong direction. >> thank you both, ted strickland, ken blackwell, appreciate the discussion. thank you. >>>...
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Oct 3, 2012
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or if i can figure out if it adds up and not add up to the federal deficit. i think president obama needs to make his points very clear and concise and not try to give us too many soundbytes. first of all, he should say my policies helped to end the greatest economic disaster since the great depression. then, number two, he should stress that we've created more than five million jobs. those job numbers have been revived, of course. the president needs to be clear that his policies and the policies that he has proposed to congress that congress will not deal with because they're more focused on theron re-election and not focused on getting the american people back to work. he said his policies will continue to bring about jobs. it will fasten economic growth in this country, and that he has a plan to deal with the federal deficit as well. i think the president can say that. >> as long as we don't have a wardrobe malfunction, we're good. >> we'll keep it rated g. anna, what are some of the pit falls that romney has to avoid here, because, you know, both candida
or if i can figure out if it adds up and not add up to the federal deficit. i think president obama needs to make his points very clear and concise and not try to give us too many soundbytes. first of all, he should say my policies helped to end the greatest economic disaster since the great depression. then, number two, he should stress that we've created more than five million jobs. those job numbers have been revived, of course. the president needs to be clear that his policies and the...
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Sep 28, 2012
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the romney campaign is firing back as in, hey, a humongous deficit is not patriotic. >> this is a land where economic freedom has allowed people to pursue their dreams and in doing so and achieving success, they lift us as a nation, they give us jobs, i will not apologize for success here and i will never apologize for america abroad. >> how's that for economic patriotism, whatever that is? so the talk back question for you this morning, is there such a thing as economic patriotism, facebook.com/carolcnn, your responses later this hour. >>> when we think of bounties in footll now we think of the new orleans saints. saints' head coach, sean payton is on the golf course instead of the football field this season after the nfl suspended him for his role in bountygate. a former assistant of another team says his players were offered cash for big hits on opponents. these weren't nfl players. they were 10 year-olds. here's casey wian. >> reporter: the 2011 red cobra's pop warner football team went undefeated in the regular season. >> this was a team that knew it was on the verge of greatness
the romney campaign is firing back as in, hey, a humongous deficit is not patriotic. >> this is a land where economic freedom has allowed people to pursue their dreams and in doing so and achieving success, they lift us as a nation, they give us jobs, i will not apologize for success here and i will never apologize for america abroad. >> how's that for economic patriotism, whatever that is? so the talk back question for you this morning, is there such a thing as economic patriotism,...
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Oct 3, 2012
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, but those kids you're talking about they're graduating with a big overhang of, you know, debt and deficits as well to pay off down the road. >> and unemployment levels are at historic highs among youth today. >> the problem romney has is he says if i'm elected president i will do the following things. the problem is when he was governor he actually raised the debt to the highest level per capita at any place in america. he increased tuition. and he increased taxes. those aren't the things he's saying on the campaign trail. that's just what he did as governor. >> so here's the thing i would say to you, governor. if governor romney's track record is relevant, then president obama's track record is relevant. and under president obama the debt has gone to $16 trillion -- he has racked up under his presidency more debt in a single term than every president combined before him. >> that was true with reagan, carter, nixon. >> you have to sit and deal with that track record. >> one other issue we haven't talked about yet, one of these 15-minute segments is going to be about health care. what is th
, but those kids you're talking about they're graduating with a big overhang of, you know, debt and deficits as well to pay off down the road. >> and unemployment levels are at historic highs among youth today. >> the problem romney has is he says if i'm elected president i will do the following things. the problem is when he was governor he actually raised the debt to the highest level per capita at any place in america. he increased tuition. and he increased taxes. those aren't...
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Oct 4, 2012
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. >> i think the leadership question tonight, if it's -- on domestic policy, is going to be the deficit issue, the fiscal management of the country, and in talking to romney advisers, that's sort of the key thing they are going to point out in terms of leadership, talk about commander in chief at the next debate. but this debate is about fiscal management and who is going to be better for me in the next four years. >> very quickly, david. >> first 45 minutes of this, the most important 45 minutes of the campaign, all about the economy. i've known jim lehrer for a long time. he won't be constricted by the -- he could well go into libya and what's been happening in the second part of the debate. >> not just the first 45 minutes are important, after the debate, our job, the fact checking, reality checking, wolf, a little bit on that. >> we certainly do, anderson. a very impressive reality check team to determine if the candidates are telling us the truth tonight. john berman is one of the team's leaders, joining us now. john, you have been fact checking candidates' recent claims on the cam
. >> i think the leadership question tonight, if it's -- on domestic policy, is going to be the deficit issue, the fiscal management of the country, and in talking to romney advisers, that's sort of the key thing they are going to point out in terms of leadership, talk about commander in chief at the next debate. but this debate is about fiscal management and who is going to be better for me in the next four years. >> very quickly, david. >> first 45 minutes of this, the most...
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there have been so many economic failure failures, the failure to create jobs or bring down the deficit. >> kevin, i want to get to some smalls we have on latino likely voters, but i want to quickly ask you, why did governor romney wait to this point to bring this forward on immigration policy? >> well, kate, we've had a lot of discussions on this issue. i think this was an opportunity where a question was asked, specifically on that question, and the governor answered it. he did talk in expansive terms about immigration, what he would do to modernize the immigration system, how it's an important part of our economy. during his recent interview that he had with univision. and i think it will continue to be a part of this debate. >> kevin, i want to show you, we put up on our screen for our viewers some new polling we have out today, showing that president obama really has an overwhelming lead among likely latino voters. 70 to 26 for governor romney. are now aggressively courting the latino vote, are you expecting to get anywhere near or beyond what senator mccain got back in 2008, which
there have been so many economic failure failures, the failure to create jobs or bring down the deficit. >> kevin, i want to get to some smalls we have on latino likely voters, but i want to quickly ask you, why did governor romney wait to this point to bring this forward on immigration policy? >> well, kate, we've had a lot of discussions on this issue. i think this was an opportunity where a question was asked, specifically on that question, and the governor answered it. he did...